Author Topic: DARLING TO BORROW MORE THIS YEAR  (Read 437 times)

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« on: December 09, 2009, 05:23:22 PM »
Darling to borrow more this year

Chancellor Alistair Darling is predicting a slight increase in borrowing costs to ?178bn this year - up from a previous estimate of ?175bn.

But borrowing as a percentage of GDP would fall from its current rate of 12.6% to 4.4% in 2014-15, he pledged.

He said that to cut borrowing too soon would risk derailing the recovery.

BBC chief economics correspondent Hugh Pym said that the figures "don't provide much cheer... they still look painfully high".

The sum of all the country's debt is predicted to continue rising until 2015-16 - peaking at 78% of GDP. This year, Mr Darling forecast it would be 56% of GDP.

Miles Templeman from the Institute of Directors said: "The key theme of this year's pre-Budget report is prudence postponed. There must be serious doubt as to whether the government has any commitment to reducing the deficit."

Mr Darling also said the economy would shrink by 4.75% this year - more than the 3.5% contraction previously estimated.

But he stuck to his growth forecast for next year, predicting expansion of 1-1.5% in 2010-11, and for the following year a growth rate of 3.5% is predicted.

Some economists think that the 2011-12 figure is overly optimistic.

"There are risks still that borrowing numbers from 2011 are underpinned by over-optimistic growth numbers," said Ross Walker from RBS.

Big picture

The sharp deterioration in the state of the public finances in the past couple of years has been caused by a fall in tax receipts during the recession, as well as the cost of bank bail-outs.

Public finances have also been hit by higher welfare spending, such as on unemployment benefits, and fiscal stimulus plans to boost the economy - for example, the car scrappage scheme.

"The full scale of the economic disaster that Labour has visited on this country is clear to us all," said the shadow chancellor, George Osborne.

"Every family in the country is going to be forced to pay for years for this Prime Minister's mistakes," he added.

BBC economics editor Stephanie Flanders said: "The chancellor has announced a lot of small things but not changed the big picture, which is that he will not spend very much over the next few years, and halve the deficit as a share of GDP."


Mr Darling is sticking to existing spending plans for next year, with public spending set to increase by ?31bn.

But, he said: "We have to be realistic - the spending environment will be tough over the next few years.

"As long as extraordinary uncertainties remain in the world economy this is not a time for a spending review."

"The chancellor has ducked the hard choices on spending and cuts" said Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman Vince Cable.

"Instead of facing up to reality he has chosen to move the goalposts by relying on fanciful growth forecasts," he said.


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« on: December 09, 2009, 05:23:22 PM »


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