A survey conducted by Lakewhyte Communications, an independent election survey group, has predicted victory for the candidate of the All Progressives Congress in Edo State, Godwin Obaseki.
In an analysis of the campaigns by the APC and the Peoples Democratic Party, the survey showed that Obaseki was rated higher based on his antecedents and the performance of Governor Adams Oshiomhole in the state.
The survey report, however, noted that Ize-Iyamu’ strengths lied in the fact that he has a good knowledge of the APC, coupled with his political sagacity.
“Generally, his campaign messages seem not as credible as his opponent’s as they are centered mainly on tackling the APC’s perceived failures without proffering credible solutions,” the report said.
The survey sampled 10,000 prospective voters “on the major candidates’ knowledge of governance and the capacity to deliver on their promises.”
Six thousand, two hundred and seventeen of the respondents, amounting to 62.17 per cent, preferred Obaseki; while only 3,701 respondents, amounting to 37.01 per cent, opted for Pastor Osagie Ize-Iyamu of the PDP.
A total of 82 responses were invalid.
The survey, however, noted that the weakness of Obaseki was the perception “that he is a stooge of Governor Adams Oshiomhole.”
The report of the survey read, “Being an expert in economic management, some believe that he would likely emphasise higher taxation in a bid to generate more income for the state.
“They responded to the second question in almost the same manner. Asked who they would vote for, 6,432 (64.32 per cent) pledged their votes for Obaseki, while 3,401 (34.01 per cent) responded in favour of Ize-Iyamu of the PDP.
“If this trend pans out, and all things being equal, it will mean that Obaseki will likely win the governorship election with a margin of about 30 per cent.”