Author Topic: Economic News by ForexMart (3)  (Read 255 times)

Offline Andrea ForexMart

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Economic News by ForexMart (3)
« on: April 21, 2017, 07:43:35 AM »
New Zealand Inflation Came in Strong in the First Quarter

The inflation rate of New Zealand soared unexpectedly as much as 2.                     2 percent in the first quarter which is the top-level over five years.                      Yet, the central is still committed keeping the interest rates low.                      Hence, the consumer price index (CPI) hovered in the middle range of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) within the 1 to 3 percent target range which they have attempted to lift higher for more than a year.                      The CPI ascended to 1 percent in the first quarter exceeding the expected 0.                     8 percent which also transposes the annual growth of 2 percent by analysts.                     

This hike in inflation was influenced by short-term gains because of high oil and food prices, a tax hike on alcohol and tobacco and the increasing costs of housing construction.                      The inflation is ascending although at a sluggish pace which keeps the RBNZ heedful according to the senior economist of the Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) bank.                     

Post Merge: April 21, 2017, 08:15:51 AM
March and June Fed Rate Hikes Possible, According to Economists

   Several economists are speculating that the US Federal Reserve could possibly be in for two more rate hikes this coming March and June, with the central bank possibly increasing its short-term rates within the week and another rate increase during the Fed’s meeting this coming June.                     Fed officials have maintained their current rates after they increased their federal funds rate last December 2016.                     The central bank had already penciled in a total of three possible hikes for this year but refused to indicate the exact date of the implementation of these said rate hikes.                     

Post Merge: April 25, 2017, 09:57:53 AM
China’s Bullish GDP Growth Stabilizes Yuan

The first quarter data of China has come out after a solid positive gain causing a slowdown in capital outflows to stabilize the currency following a selloff last year.                    They are optimistic to attain the 6.                   5 percent GDP growth for this year as mentioned by the Finance minister Xiao Jie.                    This is a good signal indicating the strengthening of yuan and capital flows are gaining back by the country.                   

The interest rates are moving in an upward direction despite tighter policies to curb the fast growth of credit hampering the economic progress.                    Yet, economic growth advanced faster-than-expected 6.                   9 percent in the first quarter, weakening capital outflows and more stable cross-border flows have strengthened yuan substantially.                    This has then eased the pressure regards to Foreign exchange reserves as it retreated with the surge of the greenback.                   

However, further tightening cannot be ruled out as it may change again abruptly especially when the currency come again under pressure with the global appreciation of the U.                   S.                    dollar.                   

Post Merge: April 25, 2017, 11:27:44 AM
Asian Stocks Abated Due to High Risks

The appeal of Asian stocks to investors has subsided because of political and economic risks that overshadowed continuous returns over the past 26 years.                   Asian business has been good in the second half last year up to early this year and is the impetus is slowing down soon.                 

This put the Asian equities for a sell-off as investors have become cautious compared a few months ago.                   Moreover, political elections in Europe and profit taking in the U.                  S.                   bring in corrections that are not good.                   Another concern is the decline in cyclical upswings in China and the United States which has a big effect on global trading including equities of Emerging market.                 

Nevertheless, investors do not totally leave despite the high costs of stocks compare to other emerging markets but are still lesser cost than developed markets.                   The analysts forecasted earnings to rise by 17% this year.                 

Post Merge: April 27, 2017, 08:05:45 AM
March New Home Sales Surge by 5.                 8%

   The new home sales data reading for March saw a drastic increase, clocking in at a 5.                 8% surge, an indication that the demand for new homes are now gaining momentum as the peak selling season commences.                  The March reading for new home sales data is the highest level since July 2016, wherein home sales data peaked its highest within a 9-year period.                  Economists are now anticipating that new home sales could possibly continue climbing up within the year as more buyers are now returning to the marketplace for starter homes.                 

Post Merge: April 27, 2017, 09:25:34 AM
NAFTA Dangers Sends MXN Plunging

   The Mexican Peso (MXN) is now about to record its lowest drop within a five-month period following reports that the Trump administration is planning to pull itself out from the NAFTA agreement.                 There are now reports that the White House is currently drafting an EO which will enable the said withdrawal and could be released either within the week or next week.                 This caused the Mexican Peso to crash by 2% against the USD, the currency’s largest daily drop since its previous drop against the CAD last November.                 A weak MXN could spell bad news for the US economy, since this will mean that Mexican exports will be more affordable as compared to US exports.                 

Post Merge: May 02, 2017, 11:11:49 AM
RBA Maintained Current Rates Amid Wage Risks

The Reserve bank of Australia kept their rates unchanged for nine succeeding months on Tuesday which is not surprising following the risks of household debt, meek progress in inflation and wage.                The RBA decided to maintained the rates at a rock-bottom of 1.               5 percent after the decline in August and May last year while most economists have foreseen that will be sustained this week.               

The central bank is sanguine in the economy but maintains a mixed labor market.                Although the wages growth anticipated being sluggish for some time.                The price inflation lingers above 2 percent in the previous quarter for the first since 2015 although the objective of the RBA is to keep inflation rates below 2 to 3 percent but higher than 3 percent in the next few years.               
RBA Governor Philip Lowe mentioned that there is no need for further stimulus since the low cash rates have affected household debt which will not be favorable for the “national interest”.               

Post Merge: May 02, 2017, 11:41:16 AM
U.              S Economy Probably Expand by 3% in Two Years, Says Mnuchin

According to Steven Mnuchin, U.              S Treasury Secretary, the economic growth of the United States could possibly grow by 3 percent in two years upon implementing the restoration of the regulatory reform and tax system and offering better trade agreements.             

The job market of U.              S revived gaining 12 percent increase in the prices of stock considering the fact that the election of Trump coupled with the consumer sentiment reached the highest peak in 16 years have painted a positive illustration of the economy.             

In spite of that, the economy improved on its weakest pace within three years acquiring 0.              7 percent in Q1 as it highlighted the dispute that the government dealt with as it aims to attain an annual growth higher than 3 percent.             

Moreover, the administration of Trump had established the overhauling of the tax rate system labeled as the largest revision in history, since this is on the top list of their legislative program.             

The plan was already published previously, it further contains the proposal for trimmed taxes intended for the citizen and businesses, creating comprehensive filer system and prohibiting the rich from loopholes.               The package is expected to be signed and put into law within the current year.             

On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund have given its forecast that the world's largest national economy will bolster hitting 2.              3 percent in 2017 while 2.              5 percent for next year.             

Post Merge: May 04, 2017, 11:37:20 AM
Stronger  Indian Rupee Provided Positive Impact to Masala Bonds

The Indian Rupee (INR) strengthened against the American dollar, while the masala bonds could take advantage with Indian firms who are looking to increase funds.             

The masala bonds had a considerable growth even the latest fiscal together with the ICRA projected that the trend will persist particularly for firms without any natural hedge that could reduce risk from foreign currencies engaged in the external commercial borrowings (ECBs).             

During the 2017 fiscal year, the rupee-linked bonds hold at t Rs 30,620 crore by which other country’s currency dropped to Rs 1,740 crore compared with the previous FY with Rs 2,440 crore.             

According to Karthik Srinivasan, Senior VP of ICRA said:  “With their cash flows denominated in Indian Rupees, many of the borrowers of ECBs don’t have a natural hedge against foreign currency risks inherent in that instrument.             "

Moreover, the national currency of India rose by more than 5% versus its U.             S peer, this caused for theIR to be the top performer among its rivals.             

The commercial banking company further anticipates an aggregate  FII debt inflows worth $5-10 billion inclusive of RDBs amid FY18.             

Post Merge: May 09, 2017, 05:54:23 AM
As Unemployment Rate Drops, US Economy on its Way to Recovery

   The US Labor Department has released its US job report for April, wherein it indicated that business had topped up a total of 211,000 jobs last month, a far cry from March’s reading of only 79,000 jobs.             This upward trend in hires has confirmed market projections that the country’s overall economic growth is well on its way towards a significant recovery.             Economists are now saying that this evidently very strong economic data for the country signals that consumers might soon have the power to amplify their spending habits during the second quarter of 2017.             

Post Merge: May 09, 2017, 07:13:41 AM
Oil Cut Production May Extend Beyond 2017, Says Minister of Saudi

Khalid Al-Falih, oil minister of Saudi Arabia showed confidence with regards to the deal to limit output for crude oil and the oversupply reduction is going to be extended within 6 months or more.           

Al-Falih further discussed during the Asia Oil and Gas Conference held in Kuala Lumpur last Monday that the growth of U.           S shale production together with the closure of refinery maintenance have lessened the effect of cutback led by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries along its associates.            Moreover, manufacturers are driven enough to achieve their target to drop in their bloated gasoline supplies.            Nevertheless, he believes the world oil supply could still realign and revive its former healthy state.           

The increasing U.           S production place worries towards OPEC and its allies as it fails to minimize the market glut and expansion of prices.           

The gains of oil were erased since the agreement made in the previous year to curb output.            The OPEC meeting held in Vienna attended by various nations further supported the 6-month deal for the extension which will start in January.            It would be the first time that the minister of Saudi to propose the extension beyond 2017.           

Post Merge: May 09, 2017, 10:52:57 AM
Euro Fell Against the Dollar in the Post-French Election

The common European currency tumbled on Monday from its highs due to the triumph of centrist wing Emmanuel Macron.           As investor received an estimate of 3% of profit after Macron won a couple of weeks ago.         

The loss of the populist candidate, Marine Le Pen ended the worries of investors about the radical change subsequent to Brexit and Trump’s election last year in case that Le Pen won.         
Based on opinion polls, Macron had a consistent point which is roughly 20 percent and his triumph on Sunday was a great surprise.         

During the early trades of Asia, the euro surge reaching $1.          1024 which is its highest rate since November 9.           It further increased on its one-year high touching 124.          58 yen versus its Japanese peer while hitting a five-month high jumping to 1.          0886 against the Swiss franc.         
However, amid morning session of Europe, it declined by 0.          4 percent to $1.          0953 vs the greens and 0.          6 percent to 123.          26 against the yen.         

The political risk linked with Le Pen were already removed, the risk involves the pledge that France will be taken out from the European region.           As the risk was eliminated, the focus turned to the economic fundamentals along with the monetary policy normalization of EU and U.          S.         

Post Merge: May 11, 2017, 06:08:57 AM
Demonetisation Slowed Down Indian Economy

The International Monetary Fund issued a regional forecast for India this month and predicted that the South Asian country will slow down because of the cash crunch bring about by the demonetization despite the fact that its economic growth would likely remain strong within the Asia Pacific region compared with the previous outlook in October.         

According to the report of National Accounts Statistics, the economic impact of the cash insufficiency may be downplayed in the least short term.         

In addition to it, an analysis made by the staff of IMF states that the projections in October 2016, the negative cash flow seems slow amid the financial year 2016-17 nearly four to five percentage points.          While the growth in FY 2017-18 was almost half of its percent point.         

Post Merge: May 11, 2017, 10:11:57 AM
High Demand for Bitcoin Hit a Record High $1,760

The Bitcoin attained a record high on Tuesday because of an upsurge demand for crypto-assets and the production of new tokens to increase stake for new establishment through blockchain technology which implies the dispensability of a central regulator.         

The digital currency rose on the day by 6 percent reaching $1,760.        40 from $1,747.        89 on the BTC=BTSP BitStamp platform.         Currently, it surged to almost 80% percent for the year and a significant expansion of market capitalization up to $52.        5 billion, reported by coinmarketcap.        com.         

However, Federal Reserve of Minneapolis Bank President Neel Kashkari is not convinced of a positive bitcoin probable future, saying that the blockchain technology will progress more in the future compared to the digital currency.         Also, considering the shift in the market interest where majority of the bitcoin rallied was influenced because of high demand for the initial coin offerings (ICOs).       

Post Merge: May 11, 2017, 10:59:56 AM
FBI Chief Comey Sacked by Trump

   President Trump has fired FBI Director James Comey yesterday in a sudden turn of events in the White House, causing a sudden onslaught of calls for a special prosecutor to take control of the ongoing investigation of the body into Trump’s possible relationships with Russia, particularly during his campaign.        This sudden development would most likely lead to a long-term falling out and could cause uncertainties with regards to the fate of the Russian investigations.        Prior to Comey’s relieving of his position, the FBI has been involved in the investigation of Trump’s ties with Russia, particularly on whether the Russian government had influenced the presidential elections last year.        The Russian government has denied any connections with the current administration.       

Post Merge: May 12, 2017, 06:20:28 AM
India’s Consumer Price Inflation Abates this April

Inflation rate of India narrowed down because of lower food cost for the month of April.       However, this would make it tough to ease rates in the near future.       Consumer price inflation is anticipated to persist lower than the 4.      0 percent medium target of the Reserve bank of India for the past six months.       

It is forecasted from a survey of economist that inflation in April will decline to a three-month low of 3.      40 percent this month compared to the 3.      81 in March.       Yet, the central bank raised its inflation rate for the fiscal 2017 to 2018 to attain 4.      5 percent for the first half and 5.      0 the second half of the year.       An economist described the situation that even if the interest rate cut exceeded the 4 percent level in the next few months, the RBI will be cautious and would not cut rates since the current situation is stable already.       

Post Merge: May 12, 2017, 09:10:45 AM
Ireland’s Household Debt  Has Fallen but Remains Fourth in the Most Indebted Nation in EU

The household debt of Ireland had collapsed for more than 20 times which appeared to be much apace than Europe in 2016, underlining the amount of Ireland’s recovery from the debt-induced financial crisis.     

Based on the statistics showed by the Irish Central Bank, Sweden ousts the Irish island on the ranking of the most indebted nation in EU as the Swedish region have low-interest rates which gave rise to concerns about the overheating in the housing market of the country.     

The household credit serves as the disposable income percentage further weakened by 10.     2 percent point in the previous year, reaching 140.     9 percent versus the 0.     5 pp overall downturn in the European Union.     

The bank also mentioned that the contraction has weighed on the reduction in debt and improvement in the household incomes.      The indebtedness has declined by 52.     9 percentage point as the year 2012 ends versus with the decreased in the broader EU  by 3.     3 percent.     

Moreover, the Irish government was compelled to agree with the Europe and IMF program for economic stabilization in 2010 as the property bubble suddenly broke causing the string of banks to fall down.      Despite the strong rebound, the economy remains to become one of the rapid-growing states in EU.     

Post Merge: May 16, 2017, 06:18:51 AM
Thailand’s Strong First Quarter GDP growth

The export data of Thailand for first quarter moved at its most rapid  “quarterly pace” in the past four years and eases the monetary policy to support low key investment activities.     Although it faces uncertainties with capital outflow and global trading protectionism, the U.    S.     Fed is taking signifying that it is gaining momentum to recovery.     

The agency reduced its monetary projection from 3.    0 - 4.    0 percentage to 3.    3 - 3.    8 percentage economic advancement forecasts while its export progress has been elevated to 3.    6 percent from 2.    9 percent.     The rise in exports is mainly due to steep costs of commodities more than the volume of trades.     

The central bank retained its key percentage interest rate at 1.    50 percent since April 2015 and the upcoming policy review is scheduled on May 24 and expected also kept unchanged.     Yet, there is a possibility for the Thai central bank to increase its rates by 25 basis points later in the year because of both sturdy growth statistics and probable augmented U.    S.     rates.     

Post Merge: May 16, 2017, 09:34:15 AM
April Retail Sales Data for US Increases by 0.   4%

   A highly positive retail sales data for the US economy has further reaffirmed speculations that the country’s economic status is regaining its momentum following a previously weak slew of data last winter.    However, these positive economic reports were pockmarked by a drop in earnings reports.    But economists are saying that the country’s economy could possibly be in for stronger consumer data in the second quarter of 2017, which is apparently not surprising since the US labor market is continuously showing signs of steady improvement.   

Post Merge: May 16, 2017, 10:27:54 AM
Economic Data of China Indicates Slow Growth

The economy of China further provided below-expected results of its economic indicators as the fixed-asset investment (FAI), manufacturing output and retail sales in the month of April declined. 

The output of the industrial sector gained 6.  5% in the earlier year, compared with the 7% projection of polling analysts of Bloomberg while 7.  1% predicted by Reuters. 

While factor output rose by 7.  6% during March which is the fastest in two years.   Fixed investments expanded by 8.  9% in the months of January to April 2017, figures are based on the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, as polls projected 9.  1%

The sales of retail boosted by 10.  7% in April from the first quarter of the year.   According to forecasts of experts, the rise will reach 10.  6% which is lower versus the past period of 10.  9% development.   Whereas, the growth in private investment that accounts for an approximately 60% of the national sum value, dropped to 6.  9% and acquired 7.  7% in Q1.  This indicates that the small and medium-sized private companies will remain to experience difficulty in finances. 

The target growth of China is close to 9% allocated for the FAI’s 2017 while there are expectations that the retail sales will surge to 10% generally. 

The second largest economy in the world had obtained a 6.  9% expansion in the first quarter which is the most powerful since 2015.   China had lessened its economic objective to give way to the policymakers in boosting reforms and to control financial risks. 

Post Merge: May 17, 2017, 11:15:29 AM
Australia’s Record Low Wage Growth at 1. 5%

The household debt climbed to an all-time high that affects spending and inflation that moved Australian wages sluggishly.  This raised concern to the Reserve Bank of Australia and lower than the target of 2 to 3 percent leading to two rate cuts last year to a record low of 1. 5 percent. 

The wage price index climbed to 0. 5 percent in the first quarter compared to the quarter before while the annual wage growth maintained at 1. 9 percent which is significantly half less a decade ago.  Although the central bank is pointing out that the wage growth decreases indicating less pressure to labor costs. 

It is anticipated that inflation will recover early next year while wages rises slowly with the progressing jobs market.  Data shows that the public sector to be gaining more appeal to investors with 2. 4 percent increase compared to the 1. 8 percent in the private sector.  recovery of mining investments following a stagnant growth. 


« Last Edit: May 17, 2017, 11:15:29 AM by Andrea ForexMart »
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Economic News by ForexMart (3)
« on: April 21, 2017, 07:43:35 AM »

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